Nah, Trump won’t admit defeat.

I dunno. This demographic also suffered a lot from the pandemic. It seems like a lifetime ago, but the first lockdowns started almost exactly 4 years ago. I would think that reminding them will be beneficial.

Absolutely not. Everyone who voted Biden in the previous election is persuadable.

There is more than the presidency. Flipping the house and keeping the Senate are almost as important as winning the presidency. The ideal October special is a house that’s in chaos, together with Trump throwing tantrums because of legal issues.

I mean that’s really not fair. If he had invested in the stock market he would have had 13 billion that could be sold at any time without any significant loss of value. On the other hand, his real estate is probably worth less than a billion in a fire sale.

She represents 20-30 percent of Republican primary voters. If Biden would cement these (HUGE if), he cannot lose the election. I don’t think you realise how thin the margins are!

Two big differences though: 1. Right now the practical benefit of having a moderate instead of an extreme GOP senator from Ohio are very small. In the end, all GOP senators will vote with the crazies. That’s of course completely different for the presidency. 2. Dems are very unlikely to win Ohio and need every advantage they can get.

I think in this case the risky strategy is completely warranted whereas in 2016 it was just stupid.

The main point is that if you are ever putting pressure on NH to change the date on their primary election, then this is the time.

People complaining about the process of the Democratic Primary this year seem to have forgotten that there is only one viable candidate this time around. If somebody else viable had announced his candidacy this year, I would be there with you all the way. However, if an open primary implies that Biden has to debate anti-vaxer Kennedy as his closest competitor, I don’t see what the point is. This primary is not rigged by the DNC, but by other candidates (e.g. Whitmer/Newson/AOC) not running.

What are you talking about? They needed 50 votes in the Senate for a reconciliation vote which they did not have, because of the aforementioned senators. The bill was passed by the house (of which Pelosi was Speaker at the time). There was a lot of negotiation between the White House and the two senators to get the bill to 50 in the Senate. None of what you are saying is correct!

What part about Manchin/Sinema is difficult to understand here? How does that relate to Biden who pushed the bill?

The president has little power to address climate change/wealth inequality on his own. That all relates to the budget and is firmly in control of congress. Replace Manchin/Sinema with two progressive senators and you would have the BBB bill, which would have addressed both these concerns.

With respect to encroaching racism I am just not sure what any politician can do about it. Ideally, you would like to change the mind of hardcore Republicans, but it’s not like they are listening.

Sure if Newsom or Whitmer would have wanted to run against Biden they could have announced their candidacy when the others did (I.e. Biden and the GOP contenders). In that case it would have been a scandal for the DNC not to run an open primary. The fact is they didn’t, for the obvious reason that you can’t run against an incumbent.

Tbf the GOP had an open race. Their primary voters just really want Trump. For the Dems the issue is that you can’t run against an incumbent without really damaging the incumbent by attacking his track record (and to be clear, Biden has an impressive track record domestically). Both races were essentially decided when Trump/Biden decided to run.

I am really annoyed by Bidens decision specifically because he all but promised to be a one-term president during the 2020 election, but I don’t blame the DNC for not running an open primary under these circumstances. How could they run an open primary when there were no serious contenders?

This is the issue: you can use batteries to store energy for the night during the day. Batteries that store over longer periods such as long cloudy spells and large seasonal differences are too expensive. On the other hand, on a global scale this is really mostly a concern in Northern Europe (where I happen to live).