I wonder how many russians are actually happy with this outcome. Kremlin loyalist must be depressed, since their leader basically turned into a puppet. And the extreme wagner supporters wanted it to go all the way. So both sides hardcode supporters are now depressed. Some wagner members probably just wanted putin to concede even after his speech so they may be happy. Civilians that support none may be happy that their society didn’t collapse and cities turned to war zones.

Ukrainians are disappointed that the distraction didn’t last a little longer, but none the less content with a weakened Russia.

Well that was… weird.

I saw several alleged videos of russian frontline units pledging their support for Prigozhin. Combine that with how little resistance wagner faced and Putin might have realized how weak his position is and given in to replacing MOD staff. Not a good look the same day he declared Prigozhin a traitor and promised punishment.

Trading the long-term stability for the short-term. Because now every aspiring russian warlord know that if you don’t like something about the state, all you need is just a big enough private army to bully the kremlin, lol.

Been following it since yesterday when it kicked off. Events so far:

1. Wagner claimed that russian army shelled their base yesterday. The verdict is still open on that one.
2. Supposedly this action, plus previous grievances, made ️Prigozhin decide to leave ukraine and enter Rostov in Russia. Rostov is a oblast capital and major military HQ for the invasion forces.
3. The claimed mission was to punish the ministry of defence.
4. Wagner captured Rostov with little to no resistance. And also drive towards Voronezh, another oblast capital.
5. While army personnel are ordered to block wagner, they seem to either join them or let them pass without a fight at nearly all points.
6. Russian air forces did engage wagner, and wagner seem to have downed several aircraft.
7. Wagner also enter Voronezh unopposed, or bypass it on their way to moscow.
8. Putin declares this a rebellion and treason, ask soldiers not to join wagner, and will respond with military action.
9. ️Prigozhin and wagner bloggers seem to reject putin and some are now starting to call it a civil war. Possibilities of negotiation are looking very unlikely now.
10. Russian helicopters are bombing oil/fuel depots in Voronezh to prevent wagner from using them. As well as threatening to blow bridges to moscow to slow wagner’s advance.